The European Union is one of the most ambitious political experiments in history. Over decades, it has taken on authority in areas once considered the exclusive domain of nation-states. Yet an important question has emerged along the way: as the EU has grown more powerful, have most Europeans grown more European? The growing success of far-right and Euroskeptic political parties suggests that many people still identify themselves as a member of their nation first, and European second, if at all. However, do we also see an increase in European identity? Is there really such a gap between national and European identtiy? And does it matter?
EUDENTIFY investigates these questions. We believe the relationship between EU institutions and European identity runs in both directions. That is, institutions can foster a sense of shared belonging, but they can also trigger backlash and harden national identities. Which happens and when it hapens is what we're trying to understand.
To do this, we built EUID dataset. It is the first comprehensive measure of European identity over time, 51 years of data, and more than 3 million respondents across 28 countries. This long view lets us ask questions that were simply out of reach before: Does European identity rise during crises? Does expanding EU authority bring people closer together or push them apart? At a time when European integration faces real headwinds, these are not just academic questions.
Introducing EUID: our Bayesian latent trait model that tracks shifts in European identity over half a century
We combined five major survey projects spanning 51 years and more than 3 million individual respondents across 28 countries to create the first comprehensive measure of European identity over time. Previous studies could not reliably compare how European identity changed because surveys used different questions, wording, and translations. We used advanced statistical modeling with individual-level data to create statistically robust country-year estimates that address these inconsistencies and enable consistent cross-national comparisons across decades.
Our new longitudinal perspective allows us to understand the relationship between European institutions and collective identities in ways that were not possible before. This represents a significant step forward in understanding important large-scale mechanisms that shape European identity across the continent and lays the groundwork for future research examining how institutions and identity influence each other.